Have Business Valuation Multiples Plateaued?

According to the November GF Data® report, middle-market1 deal valuations continued to show signs of plateauing in the third quarter of 2018. GF Data®, which tracked 63 completed transactions in the $10 million to $250 million total Enterprise Value2 (TEV) range, said “there is still some forward momentum in some niche sectors, but more broadly, we see froth coming out of the market.” In other words, valuations may be at the beginning of a downward trend.

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Business Valuation Multiples Move Higher

According to GF Data, ® valuations of middle-market companies in Q3 eclipsed previous highs with an average Total Enterprise Value/Adjusted EBITDA multiple of 7.5x on deals with an Enterprise Value 1 of $10 million to $250 million. Year-to-date average valuation multiples are 7.1x (see Chart A). While the number of completed middle-market deals year-to-date is down from the comparable 2016 period, demand for companies with above average financial performance remains very strong. This demand in conjunction with the availability and use of higher leverage by buyers, is largely responsible for the record high valuation multiples.

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Business Valuation Multiples at Record Highs

According to GF Data, ® valuations of middle-market companies in Q3 eclipsed previous highs with an average Total Enterprise Value/Adjusted EBITDA multiple of 7.5x on deals with an Enterprise Value 1 of $10 million to $250 million. Year-to-date average valuation multiples are 7.1x (see Chart A). While the number of completed middle-market deals year-to-date is down from the comparable 2016 period, demand for companies with above average financial performance remains very strong. This demand in conjunction with the availability and use of higher leverage by buyers, is largely responsible for the record high valuation multiples.

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Beware of Unsolicited Buyers for Your Company

Having been in business for more than 20 years, you recently started thinking about when to sell your company. As business owner or CEO, you get a phone call out of the blue from a reputable company that has targeted your organization as a prime acquisition or merger candidate. You’re intrigued with the buyer’s initial pitch. The phone chemistry was good. And upon brief contemplation, you decide to pursue this seemingly once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. It’s flattering to be pursued and before you know it, you’ve divulged information about your company – maybe too much information. Have you made a huge mistake? It’s important for business owners to be prepared to respond to unsolicited buyers, especially when they’ve begun to consider selling their company.

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